WHO IS GOING TO BLINK FIRST ?
GROK: I’d still go for bust on AI and robotics—but with clear eyes on how brutal the Chinese competition already is. China is executing the exact EV playbook on humanoids, and they’re winning the early volume and cost war. In 2025, Chinese firms accounted for roughly 90% of global humanoid robot sales. Unitree alone shipped ~5,500 units (the world’s top seller) and is targeting 10,000–20,000 in 2026 at prices starting around $13,500–$16,000 for capable models like the G1. Agibot was right behind at ~5,168 units and scaling fast; UBTech, XPeng’s IRON, and others are moving into mass production this year. Tesla’s Optimus, by contrast, missed its 2025 targets, remains pre-commercial at meaningful scale, and is only now installing first-gen production lines with real sales likely slipping into 2027. Musk himself has called China the toughest competitor by far. That manufacturing speed + cost advantage is real and structural (vertical integration, state s...